Tech’s Final Wave

At Sequoia Capital’s AI Ascent conference, Pat Grady presented a slide showing the waves of technology over the past 80 years. Each wave built on the infrastructure created in the previous and led to a new set of products, companies, jobs, and investor returns. He posited that AI is the next wave, and will be much bigger than all the previous. I think everyone would agree.

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But if Sam Altman’s claim that “we now know how to build AGI” is true… what happens next? AGI would almost certainly lead to a near-instant explosion of innovation in all sectors. Software, biotech, robots, hardware will all be invented at unlimited speed and scale by digital intelligence. In that world, it’s hard to imagine that humans will have any meaningful role in the future of innovation. The AI wave could be the supercycle that ends all waves.

What does this mean? The next 5 years are incredibly important. This might be it. If you want to do something — do it soon. This could be the last chance to participate in the incredible gradient of technology that has propelled economic prosperity and mobility for the last century.